Rafah invasion: Threat to Camp David treaty?

camp david
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CAIRO — Egyptian officials and a Western diplomat reportedly stated to the Associated Press (AP) on Sunday that Egypt might suspend its peace treaty with Israel in response to a potential Israeli invasion of the city of Rafah in southern Gaza along the Egyptian border. اضافة اعلان

According to Egyptian reports, warnings have been issued to Israel regarding the potential suspension of Cairo's obligations under the Camp David peace treaty if the Israeli Occupation Forces (IOF) attack Rafah, Khaberni reported.

Al Jazeera cited two Egyptian security sources confirming Cairo's deployment of about 40 tanks and armored personnel carriers to northeastern Sinai in the past two weeks. This deployment coincides with Israeli officials discussing military action in Rafah, a densely populated city housing hundreds of thousands of displaced Palestinians.

Despite Egyptian warnings, Israel has announced plans to proceed with the invasion of Rafah, revealing a plan to displace its estimated 1.4 million residents.

In an interview with ABC NEWS, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said that those advising against the invasion are essentially suggesting that Israel lose the war.

Challenges and consequences surrounding the Camp David agreement
As Israel persists in its push to invade Rafah, observers raise two pivotal questions: Firstly, the seriousness of Egypt's threat to suspend the Camp David agreement, signed with Israel in 1979. Secondly, the viability of Camp David following Israeli breaches of the military protocol, notably through the Rafah invasion and control over the Philadelphi Route connecting Gaza and Egypt.

Egyptian President Anwar El-Sadat and Israeli Prime Minister Menachem Begin signed the peace treaty in Washington in 1979, stating, "Agreed security arrangements will be established, including limited-armament zones in Egyptian and Israeli territories with the presence of UN forces and observers." The treaty allowed for the amendment of agreed security arrangements at the request and agreement of both parties.

The treaty affected the Egyptian military presence in Sinai due to restrictions on the size and distribution of Egyptian forces in the area, which was divided into three zones.

The additional protocol regarding armament zones in Egyptian territories became a security dilemma for Egyptian authorities, especially in Zone C, where armed groups outside the law were said to have settled, considering it a haven amid dozens of kilometers of mountains and forests.

As Israel escalates its military buildup to invade Rafah, ignoring international warnings and Egypt's position, the Russian newspaper, News.ru published a report titled "Will War Break Out Between Israel and Egypt?" addressing the escalation on the Egyptian-Gaza border and the potential confrontation between Cairo and Tel Aviv.

Meanwhile, a report in The New York Times highlighted Egypt's concern about increasing pressures on its borders with Gaza. Egypt has deployed military reinforcements to its borders and warned Israel against any step that could force Gaza residents to enter Egyptian territory.

AP also published a report focusing on the repercussions of canceling the Camp David agreements if Egypt were to execute its threat. The move would pressure the IOF, as the treaty significantly limits the number of forces on both sides of the border, allowing the IOF to focus on threats from other fronts, including the northern front with Lebanon.

 AP noted that canceling the treaty would deprive Israel of the peace it enjoyed on its southern border and pose a challenge to the IOF, which is stationed in the West Bank, engaged in the war in Gaza, and facing daily skirmishes with Hezbollah on the Lebanese border. Moreover, the move would also have ramifications for Egypt, which receives billions of dollars in US aid.

 Suspending the treaty would jeopardize this aid and the heavy military buildup in Sinai would burden Egypt's struggling economy.


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