Think tank presents potential scenarios for Jordan

AMMAN — The Center for Strategic Studies (CSS) released on Tuesday a report titled “Jordan’s Path in 2021: Trends and Scenarios”, which aims to develop different strategies and scenarios that could face Jordanian political and economic spheres.اضافة اعلان

These trends focus mainly on the policies of the new US administration headed by President Joe Biden, and their impact on the Middle East and North Africa region, Jordan’s internal affairs, regional conflict, and the resurgence of extremism. The report included three possible scenarios for Jordan, shifting from positive to negative to the worst possible scenario.

The first scenario discusses the most positive and promising status of the MENA region and Jordan, where the region will be more stable and Jordan’s role is solidified. On the domestic level, Jordan could adjust to the various challenges, particularly the COVID-19’s ramifications. Also, under the scenario, Jordan is expected to be more solidified on the democratic level.

The second scenario is less positive than the first. More tension may come to the surface due to the Biden administration’s focus on other regions more than the MENA region, in addition to worsening domestic affairs in Jordan, especially in relation to COVID-19 and the economy.

The final scenario is the most dire. It foresees the worst expectations at all levels. An unstable MENA region, Daesh’s reemergence along with other extremist groups, in addition to deteriorating domestic affairs.

CSS director, Zaid Eyadat, told Jordan News that “Jordan can avoid the worst scenarios by specifying its strategic position and identifying the best alliances in the MENA region according to every possible scenario.” He stressed that decision makers must be aware of every possible scenario in order to determine the best course of action.

“The center is fulfilling its duty to hand over all studies to the competent authorities that may benefit from these documents in the decision-making process, but it is not the center’s duty to monitor and decide whether decision makers adhere to the recommendations made,” he added.

Eyadat noted that the center is currently working on the National Dialogue for the Jordanian Political Reform project, in cooperation with the Ministry of Political Development and the House of Parliament.