In less than a week, the
war in Ukraine has completely disturbed the world's security architecture, and
disrupted trade flows on at least three continents.
اضافة اعلان
Russia's military invasion
of Ukraine has provoked a strong reaction from the EU, the US, NATO, and most
of the world's states, from Japan to South America. At the UN, the
only countries that sided with Russia were North Korea, Belarus, Syria, and
Eritrea. On the other hand, 141 nations condemned the Russian attack.
The new aggression is bound
to change the old security arrangements completely, and the economic
consequences will be incalculable at this time.
The war in Ukraine is
rapidly turning into a global crisis with multiple consequences. It will
severely affect energy security worldwide, as customers are discouraged from
buying Russian oil or gas, which will put pressure on other producers,
especially in the Middle East.
These days we are
witnessing the largest exodus of Western companies from a country. Russia is
virtually abandoned by all the big global companies that are accepting huge
losses to sanction military aggression against a sovereign state.
The risks of a military
escalation are also high. NATO said that it would respond forcefully if a
member state were attacked. Ukraine is not part of NATO and the organization
will not engage militarily in that country, but two of the most important NATO
member states in the eastern flank, Romania and Poland, have an extensive
border with Ukraine and host important US military bases.
The war in Ukraine is rapidly turning into a global crisis with multiple consequences. It will severely affect energy security worldwide, as customers are discouraged from buying Russian oil or gas, which will put pressure on other producers, especially in the Middle East.
US President Joe Biden has
clearly stated that it will defend with all its might every inch of land of
allied countries. The strength of this discourse is supported by American
public opinion. According to a recent opinion poll initiated by the Strategic
Thinking Group (www.strategicthinking.ro) and conducted by Romanian polling
company INSCOP Research in partnership with the American research company The
Bullfinch Group, the US population, Republican and Democrats alike, strongly
supports sending American troops to Romania and Poland to deter recent threats
from Russia.
Beyond the US authorities'
strong messages of support for the security of Romania and the concrete actions
that quickly followed them (American troops and equipment are already deployed
in Romania and Poland), the fact that the American public strongly agrees with
the measures in support of NATO member states in the face of Russia's threats
and aggression gives confidence in a critical period when the sense of security
in the region is severely affected.
Other data shows an equally
strong support for Article 5 of the NATO Treaty, which says that “an armed
attack against one or more of the NATO members in Europe or North America shall
be considered an attack against all of them”. Of those polled in the US, almost
60 percent said that, as a NATO member state, the US should get involved in
defending another NATO member state if it is attacked.
Such findings lead one to
believe that reactions to Russia's military aggression will remain strong, and
have the potential to have severe global consequences.
The writer is president of
the Strategic Thinking Group and CEO of Inscop Research.
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