Despite the rumored difficulty of negotiations between the US and Iranian parties in Pakistan, and the US threat to beat the drums of war again in the Middle East with the expiration of the deadline given by the United States to Iran if the latter does not yield to its demands.
اضافة اعلان
The US decision-makers realize that the return to war is the final nail in the coffin of the Global economy in general and the US in particular.
The continuation of the war from the US side will not lead to results on the ground,since all US targets were targeted in Iran during the forty days before the ceasefire truce without achieving results. The Iranian regime did not collapse, but became more ferocious,enriched uranium estimated at 460 kg with an enrichment rate of 60%, is still in possession of the Iranians, and missiles and drones are hitting their targets, and the United States has only the last option that Russia, China, and possibly North Korea will not keep silent about, which is the use of nuclear weapons threatened by Trump. What happened on the ground during the past period did not fit to the United States by using the political documents to negotiate with Iranian.
The Iranian fact is that it will continue to threaten the Strait of Hormuz even after years of no war and no peace, because it has missiles and drones that enable it to keep away any ship approaching the Gulf in the future, and under the Iranian pretext of not controlling who launches it, it will become a Troop war and then the infection will spread to Bab al-Mandeb.
Reaching this state,means that oil prices will remain above 150 dollars per barrel in the coming years, and raising the price of a barrel of 10 dollars will lead to an increase in Global inflation of about 0.3% ,since the price of a barrel of oil before the war was from 65-70 dollars per barrel, it has become now about 100 dollars, so global inflation will rise to 3.4%, for the new price if it reaches 150 dollars per barrel, inflation will not be less than 5%, which will be opposes Trump's foreign policy of rising tariffs on countries, and the intervention in the US Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to 2% is all to revive the US economy when all this is collapsing over the past forty days; Just mentioning that the US debt, which will reach 40 trillion dollars in the fourth quarter of this year, and how will US President Trump face the midterm elections next November with an inflationary recession hitting the United States and the world ?
The US involvement in Iran should be dealt with by the fact that what has happened has happened, and not from the perspective of quotas, because the highest US interest is more important than the whims of a president or escaping from scandals that will be on his watch if he does not carry out what is required of him to achieve Israeli Goals, whose hero is a prime minister who is doomed to prison.
In conclusion, results must be reached between the US and Iranian parties to avoid a collapse in the Global economy, which may lead to suffering that will continue for years to come without a win.
