The return to war between Iran and the Zionist entity is no longer a hypothetical question or mere media scare tactic. It has become a steadily advancing possibility as all the red lines that governed the conflict for years continue to erode. What is unfolding today is a shift from a carefully managed shadow conflict to a confrontation edging closer to the open—not because either side seeks an all-out war, but because both now see retreat as more dangerous than pressing forward.
اضافة اعلان
The Zionist entity operates under a purely offensive security doctrine that views military force as a political tool substituting for any genuine settlement. The logic of “disarmament by force” and the imposition of regional conditions reflect a deeper crisis: an inability to produce long-term stability and a growing reliance on escalation as a means of managing domestic turmoil and exporting its crises. Yet this approach, however decisive it may appear, does not eliminate adversaries; rather, it reproduces them in more complex and costly forms.
On the other hand, in my view, Iran is no longer content with a posture of mere defense or absorbing strikes. Years of “strategic patience” have not ended the targeting; instead, they have encouraged its expansion. Tehran now views confrontation from a different angle: deterrence is not preserved through silence, and existential threats must be confronted beyond the borders before they reach the interior. Nevertheless, Iran does not appear eager for an open war and understands that any direct clash would be a comprehensive test of its economic and political capacity—not only its military strength.
The most dangerous equation is that if war erupts, it will not remain confined to two parties. The entire region sits on a seismic fault line: Lebanon is exhausted, Iraq is under pressure, Syria is depleted, and Yemen is besieged. Every arena is combustible, and every partial ignition carries within it the risk of a comprehensive explosion. Meanwhile, the international community watches with selective coldness—either unable or unwilling to deter—leaving a vacuum open to the logic of force.
The most realistic assessment is that the coming phase will not witness a swift, all-out war, but rather a harsh, gradual escalation in which nerves are tested before armies, and endurance is measured as much as firepower. The parties may succeed in delaying the explosion, but they will not turn back the clock. The region is heading toward a new, fragile balance—one with no genuine peace and no sweeping war, but an open-ended conflict on the edge, where a small mistake could ignite something impossible to extinguish.
