China’s Xi arrives in Saudi Arabia for energy-focused visit

1. China Saudi
China’s President Xi Jinping is received by Saudi officials upon arrival at King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh on December 7, 2022. (Photo: Saudi TV/AFP)

 

RIYADH — Chinese President Xi Jinping touched down in Saudi Arabia on Wednesday for a visit that is likely to focus on energy ties but also follows months of tensions with the US.

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Xi, recently reanointed as leader of the world’s second biggest economy, arrived in the capital Riyadh, Chinese and Saudi state media said, for a three-day visit that will include talks with the Saudi rulers and other Arab leaders.

 

Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan and Riyadh Governor Prince Faisal bin Bandar were among those who welcomed Xi at the airport, where a ceremonial purple carpet was laid out from the steps of the plane.

 

On major roads in Riyadh, the red-and-gold Chinese flag alternated with the green Saudi emblem.

 

China is the top customer for oil from Saudi Arabia, the leading exporter of crude, and both sides appear keen to expand their relationship at a time of economic turmoil and geopolitical realignment.

 

The trip — only Xi’s third overseas journey since the COVID-19  pandemic began, and his first to Saudi Arabia since 2016 — comes after US President Joe Biden’s visit in July, when he pleaded in vain for higher oil production.

 

It will feature bilateral meetings with Saudi King Salman and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, as well as a summit with the six-member GCC and a wider China-Arab summit.

 

Oil markets

 

The program represents the “largest-scale diplomatic activity between China and the Arab world since the founding of the PRC”, or People’s Republic of China, foreign ministry spokeswoman Mao Ning said on Wednesday.

 

The official Saudi Press Agency said the kingdom accounted for more than 20 percent of Chinese investment in the Arab world between 2005 and 2020, “making it the biggest Arab country to receive Chinese investments during that period”.

 

Oil markets are expected to be a top agenda item for talks between China and Saudi Arabia, especially given the turbulence the markets have experienced since Russia invaded Ukraine in February.

 

The G7 and EU on Friday agreed to a $60-per-barrel price cap on Russian oil to deny the Kremlin war resources, injecting further uncertainty into the markets.

 

On Sunday, the OPEC+ oil cartel led jointly by Saudi Arabia and Russia opted to keep in place production cuts of 2 million barrels per day approved in October.

 

Saudi and Chinese officials have provided scant information about the agenda, though Ali Shihabi, a Saudi analyst close to the government, said he expected “a number of agreements to be signed”.

 

Beyond energy, analysts say leaders from the two countries will likely discuss potential deals that could see Chinese firms become more deeply involved in mega-projects that are central to Prince Mohammed’s vision of diversifying the Saudi economy away from oil.

 

They include a futuristic $500 billion megacity known as NEOM, a so-called cognitive city that will depend heavily on facial recognition and surveillance technology.

 

 Tensions with Washington

 

The OPEC+ production cuts approved in October represented the latest blow to the longtime partnership between Saudi Arabia and the US, which said they amounted to “aligning with Russia” on the war in Ukraine.

 

Xi’s visit is expected to be closely watched in Washington, which entered what is often described as an oil-for-security partnership with Saudi Arabia towards the end of World War II.

 

While the Biden administration has smarted over the production cuts, Riyadh has at times accused the US of failing to hold up the security end of the bargain, notably after strikes in September 2019 claimed by Yemen’s Houthi rebels temporarily halved the kingdom’s crude output.

 

China and Saudi Arabia already work together on arms sales and production.

 

Yet analysts say Beijing cannot provide the same security assurances Washington does — nor does it wish to.

 

Nevertheless, if the Saudis are “looking to extract more security guarantees from the US, ... signaling that they have the opportunity of strengthening ties with China is something that suits them well,” said Torbjorn Soltvedt, of the risk intelligence firm Verisk Maplecroft.

 

The GCC-China summit will be held in Riyadh on Friday, the bloc said in a statement.

 

 

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