Eight decades have passed and the world deplores the barbaric acts practiced by Israel against the Palestinians, including killing, torture, destruction, displacement and Judaization, and demands the establishment of a Palestinian state, as His Majesty King Abdullah II explicitly said in his speech to the UN General Assembly on the eightieth anniversary in New York, but there is no life for those who call, without indifference from Israel, which is supported by the West, especially the United States, as an advanced base in the Middle East region that achieves the interests of the West, and it helps in electing Western presidents, especially in the United States, through finance and media support during the elections by mobilizing lobbies, to influence presidential decisions and then pour into the good of Israel.
اضافة اعلان
The Arab countries have previously passed through periods between awakening and hibernation, starting from the war of the 67 and passing through the Gulf War, the Arab Spring, the war against ISIS and finally the dismantling of the arms and factions hostile to Israel . During this period, Israel was able to overthrow the armies of the second and third Arab states in the Middle East, namely Syria and Iraq and isolate and even get rid of every Arab president hostile to this entity such as Libya and Yemen.
The golden period that had passed for the Arabs in the past was not exploited after the signing of the peace agreement in 1994, when the political horizon was available to everyone, and the US administration at the time of the Clinton administration was very close to achieving the Palestinian state project, and the Arabs were at the peak of their strength and rapprochement, and the Israeli government at that time was more democratic, but some Arab countries viewed the agreement as ephemeral and rejected because it did not create the event they wanted and did not benefit from it, they did not support that agreement ,and attacked it with their media, gradually strengthening the position of the Israeli extreme right, which led to the assassination of Yitzhak Rabin, where he prevailed.
Then there was a period of stalemate in the Israeli-Arab relationship and progress towards peace leading to a two-state solution and the establishment of a Palestinian state on the borders of the Fourth of June 1967, with East Jerusalem as its capital .
During that period, and until now, the anti-Israel axis and all its arms have been dismantled, which reveals the existence of Israeli colonial and expansionist intentions in the Arab world, especially after the control of the extreme right over the joints of the Israeli state and ending any chance of any political horizon for a two-state solution, to control the land and dominate the expanses of Arab geography without deterrence or fear.
The question is :Will there be a Palestinian state now in such circumstances, while it was difficult to establish it in the past when the Arab conditions and conditions to which we referred existed?
To answer this question, new variables must be introduced, despite the current Arab situation ,and these variables may eventually lead to the creation of a Palestinian state, namely:
First: the world has become more sympathetic to the Palestinians and more hateful to the Israelis through the positions of the world peoples and the political decisions of the countries of the world, where it was confirmed to everyone from the Gaza war that the Israeli horizon is a bloody horizon that does not call for peace and does not respect humanity and its principles.
Second: the change in the positions of some influential European countries that previously supported Israel in terms of their positions in recognizing the establishment of a Palestinian state, in addition to stopping military support for it.
Third: the global economic situation is on the verge of collapse, the global indebtedness is approaching 130 trillion dollars, the debts have flooded the European countries and the United States, and the keys to economic breakthroughs are all owned by the Arab countries, not to mention the Chinese danger, whose impact has become obvious on the European and US economy, and the Chinese-Arabic rapprochement that will lead to deepening the West's economic problem has become closer than ever, the United States is now threatened with a government shutdown, with a debt approaching 39 trillion dollars, and all European countries have reached the stage of danger.
Fourth: the Arab Health is not trusting Western alliances, the latest of which was Israel's strike on Qatar, an ally of the United States, which led to thinking about activating a joint defense, whether Arab-Arab or Arab - Islamic, as we have seen Saudi Arabia's alliance with Pakistan, and we will witness other alliances soon.
Fifth: the religious war is now closer than ever, especially if the extremist Israeli government tampers with the Islamic and Christian holy sites in Al-Quds.
Sixth and finally, Israel has become a burden on the West and this will make the West think carefully about continuing to support it.
In the end, these six new variables are considered pressure cards in the hands of the Arabs for the establishment of a Palestinian state that ends the Arab-Israeli conflicts that have lasted for eight centuries, and these variables also affect the Western-Israeli relationship negatively.
GM at Jobkins Center for Strategic Studies.
Expert, strategic and economic analyst
Engineer Mohannad Abbas Haddadin.