The parliament faces very sensitive files, and the indicators tell you the upcoming ordinary session won't be entirely calm, unless these files are managed well in advance, before their moment arrives.
اضافة اعلان
Among the most important of these files are the final amendments to the Social Security Law. If information already points to amendments that may be milder compared to the earlier ones that were frozen and left pending in parliament, we should still expect two kinds of objection: the first from blocs that took a sharp stance against the amendments, such as the Nation's Deputies bloc, and the second from centrist blocs, which will also find themselves facing a test, particularly at the popular level, even if the amendments are less severe than the earlier ones, because in any case we will be facing a structural change to social security.
Perhaps the most important amendments to the Social Security Law concern acquired rights, retirement age, and the method of calculating the pension salary, and we should remember that we're talking here about one million six hundred thousand contributors.
The second file concerns the possible amendments to the Elections Law, what the goals of these amendments are, and how the deputies themselves will assess the amendments and their impact on their majority should they decide to run again. These amendments will be tied to the personal, and therefore partisan, interests of all deputies, meaning a deputy's calculations in expressing a position will depend on how they assess these amendments and their effect on them, on the composition of the next parliament, the map of party representation within it, and the size of the blocs. The most important question thus becomes tied to the results of the next elections, and the shape of parliament in light of the amendments, which in short means we will most likely be facing a radical change to the political map in the next parliament.
The third file, about which there is no conclusive information, relates to what's being said about appointing party members as ministers, and sometimes the talk drifts toward appointing partisan deputies as ministers, not merely partisans from outside the chamber. This needs tightly managed handling because in previous experiences, in previous Jordanian parliaments, we saw deputies from within blocs appointed as ministers, and there were differing assessments of the appointment of deputies from within the blocs. But the current situation raises two possibilities: either appointing partisans from outside parliament who have deputies inside it, or appointing partisan deputies from within the blocs. In both cases, the matter must be settled, confirmed or denied, and the costs and repercussions weighed in terms of parliamentary and governmental stability as well.
These files leave a direct, unannounced effect on the next parliamentary speakership, without being declared; that is, the central decision-making in Amman will factor in that the next speakership will face several files inside parliament, and therefore there will be multiple requirements tied to the ability to run parliament, and who will take on the task, amid indications that Amman still insists on the formula of consensus within the chamber regarding the speakership, and there appears to be no intention to accept elections in the conventional sense, within the context of a policy of calming the atmosphere, amid a blazing region and varied domestic challenges.
